Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s upcoming visit to Russia is significant, marking a critical juncture in India’s geopolitical strategy and economic diplomacy. As Mr Modi heads to Moscow to engage in discussions with President Vladimir Putin, the focal points are clear: addressing the trade imbalance between India and Russia and securing the release of Indian nationals misled into participating in the Ukraine conflict. This visit, part of a long-established tradition of annual summits between the two nations, comes at a time of heightened global tensions and shifting alliances.

The trade imbalance between India and Russia is a pressing issue. Despite the robust energy cooperation that has propelled bilateral trade to nearly $65 billion, Indian exports to Russia remain a meager $4 billion. This disparity underscores the need for a more balanced trade relationship. Mr Modi’s agenda includes pushing for increased Indian exports in sectors like agriculture, technology, pharmaceuticals, and services. Such diversification is crucial for India to reduce its dependence on imports and strengthen its economic footprint in Russia. Furthermore, Mr Modi’s visit is strategically timed to demonstrate India’s commitment to maintaining its historical ties with Russia while navigating the complex dynamics of global politics.

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India has managed a delicate balance, refraining from outright criticism of Russia’s actions in Ukraine while advocating for dialogue and diplomacy. This stance reflects India’s broader approach of strategic autonomy, prioritising its national interests without aligning too closely with any single power bloc. The issue of Indian nationals being misled into fighting in the Ukraine war is a humanitarian concern that Mr Modi will address with urgency. Reports of Indians lured to Russia under false pretences and subsequently forced into combat highlight a disturbing exploitation of vulnerable individuals. Mr Modi’s efforts to secure their release will not only provide relief to affected families but also reinforce India’s commitment to protecting its citizens abroad. This visit also serves as a diplomatic signal.

For Russia, welcoming Mr. Modi is an opportunity to showcase its enduring partnerships amid international isolation due to the Ukraine conflict. For India, it is a chance to affirm its independent foreign policy stance and prevent the perception of a drift in India-Russia relations. By engaging with Russia at this juncture, Mr Modi underscores the importance of keeping Russia within a balanced geopolitical equation, particularly given the deepening ties between Russia and China. As global power dynamics shift, India’s ability to maintain strategic autonomy and foster diverse partnerships is crucial.

The emphasis on correcting trade imbalances, protecting citizens, and engaging in high-stakes diplomacy reflects a mature and multifaceted approach to foreign policy. But Mr Modi’s Moscow visit is not just about bilateral trade or resolving immediate humanitarian issues. It is a testament to India’s nuanced and strategic engagement on the global stage. As India continues to rise as a significant global player, such visits are pivotal in shaping the contours of international relations and ensuring that India’s voice remains influential and independent