Resilient Growth
India’s economic outlook remains resilient, but it’s clear that a complex interplay of global and domestic pressures demands careful navigation.
The rising fuel prices is impacting demand conditions in India that is looking for an accelerated recovery of the economy post Covid-induced lockdowns and disruptions.
According to official data, country’s fuel consumption fell sharply in February, the second consecutive month when demand is slowing signs of a slackening amidst rising fuel prices.
The consumption slowdown in February is lowest since September when it had begun becoming clear that worst is over and demand is picking up.
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According to oil ministry’s Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC), consumption of fuel ( largely petrol and diesel ) fell 4.9 per cent in yoy February to 17.2 million tonnes. The demand also slipped 4.6 per cent on monthly basis indicating that various hiccups still remain on the path of full recovery for the Indian economy.
A clearer indication that recovery is still some way off can be gauged by seeing the diesel consumption data as the fuel is prime source of transport for all kinds of goods in the country and accounts for about 40 per cent of overall refined fuel sales in India. The consumption of Diesel fell 3.8 per cent to 6.55 million tonnes in February on a month on month basis and declined 8.5 per cent year-on-year.
Petrol sales, on the other hand, fell 6.5 per cent to 2.44 million tonnes in February and by about 3 per cent from a year earlier.
Both the fuel is on the boil in the country with pump price of petrol and diesel rising by 26 times in 2021 by Rs 7.46 and Rs 7.60 per litre respectively so far this year. Petrol prices have also breached the Rs 100 a litre mark in several cities.
Contrary to auto fuel prices, sales of cooking gas or LPG cylinders grew 7.6 per cent YoY in February to 2.27 million tonnes. This is largely on account of government t subsidies and provision of free connection to Ujjawala customers.
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