The bull may continue to dominate the equity markets in the coming days, but the only concern at this point is the “too strong” derivatives data, which may lead to a rapid sell-off in case of a course reversal, a Motilal Oswal Retail Research report suggested.
The report said that at current juncture, the market is in bulls grip and dips are getting bought into quickly. Nifty’s derivatives data is also positive and it indicates continuation in ongoing momentum. It, however, said FIIs index futures data signifies they are overbought in the Indian market and any unwinding of longs or fresh shorting may lead to a correction in the market. Thus, some cautious approach should be adopted at these levels it said.
“As far as levels are concern, the index is moving in uncharted territory and 13,500 would a hurdle as per options data. On the flip side, major support exists at 12,700 then 12,350 zones. The only concern at current juncture is too strong derivatives data and in case of any reversal, the sell-off can be fast,” said the report.
The report also said that it was a historic month for the market as Nifty posted highest ever series on series gains (in absolute term). Bulls were aggressive from the beginning of November series and kept the ball in their court throughout the period.
Benchmark marched above 13,000 mark for the first time in history and managed to conclude the November expiry a tad below the same. It gained by 1,316 points or 11.28 per cent over its October series close. Nifty started the November series with some long positions and bulls didn’t miss any chance to enjoy the festive session.
Investors welcomes the US election results and Diwali festival as domestic markets hit their record highs along with rally in global markets. Buying interest was seen across the board as all the sectoral indices ended the series in green. Among them, banking, financials and metal indices were major gainers.
FIIs have made highest monthly buying in November. Except marginal selling on first trading session of November expiry, they were significant buyers on all other sessions.
They have pumped in around Rs 56,733 crore in November series. FIIs also continued their buying streak in index futures for major part of the series and as a result, their ‘Long Short Ratio’ has increased from 44.54 per cent to 76.63 per cent on series-on-series basis. “This has helped the index to cross the 13,000 mark,” it said.